Rethinking Dam Safety: Why Probabilistic Breach Modeling Matters

Rethinking Dam Safety: Why Probabilistic Breach Modeling Matters

As infrastructure ages and climate events grow more extreme, dam safety demands more than a one-size-fits-all approach. At Kleinschmidt, we’re leading the shift to probabilistic breach modeling—an approach that simulates thousands of failure scenarios, not just one. This method helped East Bay Municipal Utility District uncover hidden vulnerabilities at Camanche Reservoir that traditional models missed, offering a more complete picture of risk.

Probabilistic modeling strengthens—not replaces—deterministic methods. It enables smarter emergency planning, more informed infrastructure investments, and a better understanding of uncertainty. Want to see how it works?

To learn how this approach is reshaping dam safety strategies, Click the link below to download the full article.

Probabilistic Dam Breach Analysis